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Intelligence boss: It is difficult to predict Australia-Tuvalu deal on climate change

by admineconai February 14, 2024
written by admineconai February 14, 2024
587

Andrew Shearer, a senior Australian intelligence chief has said that a landmark climate and security deal with Tuvalu may be at risk in the wake of the Pacific nationโ€™s election.

Shearer, who leads the governmentโ€™s Office of National Intelligence (ONI), was quoted as saying that his agency was โ€œobviously aware of recent political change and turbulence in Tuvaluโ€.

However, he cautioned that he could not yet predict the fate of the deal because ONI was not part of the negotiations between the two countries.

The treaty, which was signed in November, offered โ€œa special human mobility pathway for citizens of Tuvaluโ€ to live, study and work in Australia as part of recognition that the low-lying Pacific country was particularly vulnerable to sea level rise.

Read also: Adamawa to domesticate climate change policy

Just as significantly, the treaty promises that Australia will defend Tuvalu in the case of any military aggression or other significant threats.

In return for this security guarantee, Tuvalu must โ€œmutually agree with Australiaโ€ if it wants to strike a deal with any other country on security and defence-related matters.

This measure was widely been seen as an effective Australian veto on a potential future security agreement with China. Tuvalu currently is one of the few nations to maintain diplomatic relations with Taiwan, not Beijing.

But at a Senate estimates hearing on Monday night, the Greens senator David Shoebridge noted that the prime minister who signed the deal with Australia, Kausea Natano, had lost his seat in elections held late last month.

There are no political parties in Tuvaluโ€™s parliament, where two lawmakers are elected in each of eight island electorates, and the formation of the new government may take some time.

Shoebridge asked Shearer whether it was his assessment that the agreement with Tuvalu โ€œfaces a real risk of unravelling nowโ€.

Story was adapted from the Guardian.

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