The UK Met Office says global average temperatures will be roughly 1.2C higher than they were before people began to influence climate change, making next year one of the warmest on record.
If true, it would mark the tenth year in a row that the average global temperature has risen by at least 1C over what it was during pre-industrial periods, which is defined as the years between 1850 and 1900.
Following Storm Dennis in 2020, there was flooding in the Wye Valley in Hereford. According to a report, Europe is warming up twice as quickly as the rest of the world.
2016 is the hottest year on record going back to 1850. During this year, the Pacific Ocean saw a “El Nio” climate trend, which raises world temperatures on top of global warming trends.
Read also: Report says climate change poses risk for Istanbul’s coastal districts
Prof Adam Scaife, head of long-range predictions at the Met Office, said: “Without a preceding El Niño to boost global temperature, 2023 may not be a record-breaking year, but with the background increase in global greenhouse gas emissions continuing apace it is likely that next year will be another notable year in the series.”
The Met Office’s Dr Nick Dunstone, who has led the 2023 global temperature forecast, said: “The global temperature over the last three years has been influenced by the effect of a prolonged La Nina – where cooler than average sea-surface temperatures occur in the tropical Pacific.
Dr Doug Smith, a leading Met Office expert in climate prediction, added: “The fact that global average temperatures are at or above 1C for a decade masks the considerable temperature variation across the world.
According to the Met Office, the average global temperature will rise by 1.08 to 1.32 degrees Celsius from where it was in the second part of the 19th century.
The Met Office estimated that the average world temperature in 2022 will be 1.09C above pre-industrial levels, with a range of 0.97C to 1.21C. The temperature is believed to be 1.16C above pre-industrial levels, according to data for the year ending in October.
Story was adapted from The Guardian.
