A probable El Nio, a trend of ocean warming in the Pacific that might raise the danger of catastrophic weather events around the world, is still being foreseen by climate models all over the world.
An extreme or “super El Nio,” which is characterized by extremely high temperatures in a core region of the Pacific near the equator, may occur later this year, according to some projections.
In a Tuesday update, Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology stated that all seven models it had examined—including those from the UK, Japan, and the US—showed sea surface temperatures passing the El Nio threshold by August.
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However, the bureau and climate scientists cautioned that outlooks should be “viewed with some caution” because they were far less dependable throughout the autumn in the southern hemisphere.
According to the bureau, there was a 50% probability that an El Nio would form before the end of the year.
The most recent intense El Nio in 2016 contributed to the rise in global temperatures to their greatest level ever, which was supported by human-caused global warming that produced floods, droughts, and disease outbreaks.
Story was adapted from The Guardian
