Experts have warned that the destruction of nature over the rest of the decade could trigger a bigger economic slump in Britain than those caused by the 2008 global financial crisis and the Covid pandemic.
Sounding the alarm over the rising financial cost from pollution, damage to water systems, soil erosion, and threats from disease, the report by the Green Finance Institute warned that further breakdown in the UKโs natural environment could lead to a 12% loss of gross domestic product (GDP) by the 2030s.
The authors argued, In a report that received input from experts across academia and government, that โgradual, year-to year environmental degradation is as detrimental or more so than climate changeโ.
The continued loss of natural habitats in urban and rural areas would compare unfavourably with the financial crisis of 2008, which took about 5% off the value of UK GDP, while the Covid pandemic cost the UK 11% of its GDP in 2020.
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The academics used three scenarios to construct the report: domestic risks from continued UK environment breakdown; international risks โ including destruction to nature in countries which are key UK trading partners; and a health scenario, focusing on the dangers of a fresh global pandemic.
All three took into account current trends in environmental breakdown โ including water and air pollution, soil health erosion and biodiversity loss โ resulting in a hit to GDP worth up to 3%, or about ยฃ70bn by the late 2020s.
The report then added โacute risksโ on top of these trends โ including floods, droughts and wildfires โ which would result in a 6% loss to GDP in the domestic and international scenarios, and a 12% hit in a health scenario, reflecting the extreme dangers to the UK economy from a renewed pandemic.
Story was adapted from the Guardian.
